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Leading Russia Watcher in China Makes Surprise Ukraine War Prediction
Newsweek ^ | 16 April 1963 | Micah McCartney

Posted on 04/16/2024 3:21:43 PM PDT by Apparatchik

A Chinese specialist on Russia has delivered a grim forecast for Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine: that it is doomed to fail.

Peking University professor Feng Yujun is also cooling on the future of Beijing-Moscow relations, writing in a recent op-ed in The Economist that the two nations have diverging visions of the future of global affairs.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; War
KEYWORDS: bidenswar; china; fengfeng; killkillkillforpeace; maplesyrup; mercyflushlives; micahmccartney; putin; russia; tothelastukrainian; ukiesurrendermonkeys; ukraine; war; worldwariii; ww3; zeeperporn
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This is new - an independent thinker in China allowed to express a countervailing view without getting shouted down by loons.

If only FR were so open minded and free…

1 posted on 04/16/2024 3:21:43 PM PDT by Apparatchik
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To: Apparatchik

In other words, “let Russia and NATO slaughter each other and go bankrupt, then the CCP will swoop in and take over what’s left.”


2 posted on 04/16/2024 3:27:03 PM PDT by rfp1234 (E Porcibus Unum )
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To: Apparatchik

Everything from China is managed.

So I take this with a grain of salt.


3 posted on 04/16/2024 3:27:20 PM PDT by redgolum
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To: Apparatchik
This is new - an independent thinker in China allowed to express a countervailing view without getting shouted down by loons.

If that professor was allowed to express his opinion, then, you can bet that the Chinese rulers allowed the opinion to get out. Meaning that,perhaps the Chinese leadership don't expect Russia to be successful in their conquest of Ukraine.

Bad news for Russia and Russia's supporters in FR and elsewhere.
4 posted on 04/16/2024 3:27:56 PM PDT by adorno (CCH)
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To: All

Wow THE Feng Yujun said THAT!!!


5 posted on 04/16/2024 3:30:46 PM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: Apparatchik
Talk about Ukraine war predictions, you're batting 0.000

How does it feel to have been wrong about everything?

6 posted on 04/16/2024 3:31:26 PM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: Apparatchik

“ Peking University professor Feng Yujun is also cooling on the future of Beijing-Moscow relations, writing in a recent op-ed in The Economist that the two nations have diverging visions of the future of global affairs.”
***********************************************

I watched a debate between Professor Feng Yujun and Professor Wun Hung Lo of Cal State and Professor Feng Yujun did very poorly.


7 posted on 04/16/2024 3:32:13 PM PDT by House Atreides (I’m now ULTRA-MAGA-PRO-MAX)
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To: Apparatchik
I listen to a large number of independent voices from around the world who all agree that Russia will eventually win the war and sooner rather than later.

Ukraine territory is undefendable, especially in an era with satellites and drones. Russia has far more people who seem more willing to fight than their Ukrainian counterparts.

Even if Zelensky can get NATO to send more money/arms, who will there be left to deploy it to the battlefield?

The only hope for Ukraine is NATO formally entering the war, but that could eventually lead to WWIII. Also, it appears that NATO may now be a paper tiger as they all claim that their stocks of arms have been depleted by what they have already handed over to Ukraine. Since the West has chosen Finance over Manufacturing, our ability to restock pales in comparison to Russia's. The longer a NATO v Russia war lasts, the better it will be for Russia.

8 posted on 04/16/2024 3:32:31 PM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear (Kafka was an optimist.)
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To: Apparatchik
Feng's assessment is a departure from the messaging of the Chinese government.

I'm pretty sure this academician's op-ed has been cleared by the regime. Please don't take my musing as a shout-down by a loon.

9 posted on 04/16/2024 3:33:36 PM PDT by Migraine ( )
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To: Apparatchik

If it’s reported in Newsweek, it’s not a “surprising” position. We already know which side they favor in any conflict or issue.


10 posted on 04/16/2024 3:37:29 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: adorno

He does not criticize the CCP. He is free to say such things.


11 posted on 04/16/2024 3:39:14 PM PDT by Fai Mao (Starve the Beast and steal its food.)
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To: House Atreides

Is Professor Lo affiliated with the law firm of Dewey, Cheatham, & Howe?


12 posted on 04/16/2024 3:42:50 PM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: Apparatchik

I am open minded but I hold opinions which are unpopular, so I am deemed ‘biased’.

For example - the publication is NewsWeek - which is a propaganda portal. Doesn’t mean NewsWeek has never published anything I valued, just raises an eye brow.

The two quotes below start this article off miserably, yet they are the reasons the professor views the conflict as Russia’s doom:

“First on the list is the “level of resistance and national unity shown by Ukrainians, which has until now been extraordinary.”

This is pathetic and sad, and not a reason for the belief of Russias doom. Millions have fled the Urkaine, with women and children establishing homes in other regions and not expected to return. Zelensky is simply shoveling those left in the Ukraine into the graves. They are conscripting boys and disabled old men, with one FReeper reporting they watched a conscription team abscond with a disabled 70 year old man. It’s not that the Ukrainians lacked valor or determination, but that they have died, been injured, fled, are being conscripted and under equipped. Barely familiar with a weapon, they aren’t given sufficient ammunition and then are sent to a battlefield against experienced Russian soldiers who are well equipped. The Ukrainians lack air defense so death rains down on the consrcripts above, and so more are grabbed off the streets, and Zelensky has said that all Ukrainians must expect to serve eventually, including the women.

“The second factor is the international support for Kyiv, which the academic said “remains broad,” though he acknowledged the administration of President Volodymyr Zelensky finds it wanting.”

Zelensky has said from the beginning that he needed fighter aircraft and could not win without them. Oh he he said it only takes a few months to train pilots, who speak English. Zelensky just never got what he said he needed to win. His head of military, now replaced, early on told The Economist he knew what he needed to win, and that NATO didn’t have it to give him. Their problem with lack of ammunition is well known, with NATO nations saying they have no more to give. Really - the Ukrainians are not experiencing the support they once had and will never get what they say they need, now that there’s tacit acknowledgement they are not winning.

“The third factor at play is the “nature of modern warfare,” according to Feng, who described this as a combination of “industrial might and command, control, communications and intelligence systems.””

Putin is flattening the electrical grid and much of what’s plugged into it. There is no industrial might left in the Ukraine - one of Russia’s tactics was constant electrical switching as a tactic in and of itself. Switching constantly means anything plugged into the grid, cell phones to medical equipment or manufacturing etc. - was electrically fried and must be replaced. The workforce is dead/fled. Feng points to the weakest of Ukrainian assets as proof they are winning.

“Russia’s fourth critical deficit is a lack of information among Kremlin decision-makers at the highest levels, Feng said. Trapped inside an “information cocoon,” Putin and his national security advisers don’t have ready access to accurate intelligence, limiting their capacity to fix mistakes.

Feng contrasted this with Ukraine’s “more flexible and effective” government.”

FENG has quite a sense of humor. NATO is Ukraine’s more flexible and effective government, and NATO is losing. The US pays for pensions, salaries, emergencies services in the Ukraine, I’ll put up a post that contains this information more precisely. So the US is the government of the Ukraine, as lead nation in NATO and primary funder of the war. Ask yourself if the geniuses using Biden as a puppet in the United states really epitomize governmental prowess.

Newweeks sad article is meant to prop up the push in Corrupt corners of Congress for more Ukrainian funding, because NATO ELITES, including Biden, want and need money.


13 posted on 04/16/2024 3:44:24 PM PDT by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: Apparatchik
If only FR were so open minded and free…

Yeah, and Freepers, just keep a slice of all the advice you give so free.

14 posted on 04/16/2024 3:48:15 PM PDT by Sirius Lee (Do not submit)
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To: Apparatchik
This is new...

New like Rope A Dope.

15 posted on 04/16/2024 3:52:05 PM PDT by Navy Patriot (Celebrate Decivilization)
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To: Fai Mao
He does not criticize the CCP. He is free to say such things.

What that means is that, he is either part of the CCP, or fears going against the CCP. Meaning that, he is really NOT free to express his opinions. The CCP doesn't allow anything which they don't approve of, or else.
16 posted on 04/16/2024 3:55:26 PM PDT by adorno (CCH)
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To: adorno
If that professor was allowed to express his opinion, then, you can bet that the Chinese rulers allowed the opinion to get out

Very smart observation


17 posted on 04/16/2024 3:55:44 PM PDT by canuck_conservative (NATO - now celebrating 75 successful years of keeping the Russian monsters out!!)
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To: Apparatchik

China and Russia are doomed to fight each other some day.


18 posted on 04/16/2024 3:56:05 PM PDT by Judge Bean
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To: Apparatchik
“A Chinese specialist on Russia” LOL! at you.
Putin 2024.

Ukrainian Mutiny, and another city falls. Eat it propagandist.

https://youtu.be/HgJNWeHeLnw?si=OzaTtQxlXKfeq2Ol

19 posted on 04/16/2024 4:07:01 PM PDT by MotorCityBuck (Keep the change, you are filthy animal! )
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To: Allegra; AndyJackson; ANKE69; bimboeruption; Candor7; Carriage Hill; Cold_Red_Steel; dforest; ...
ZEEPER-FOLLIES-PINGLIST

ZEEPER FOLLIES PINGLIST!!

(((PING!)))

Join and laugh at the humor Zeepers provide!!

20 posted on 04/16/2024 4:09:40 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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